Crosscurrents in the Housing Market: Confidence Up, Growth Slowing
Last week’s data paints a mixed but important picture for housing. Consumer confidence is improving and homeownership ticked higher late last year—both positive signs. But slower population growth and a spike in job cuts suggest we shouldn’t ignore potential headwinds heading into 2026. The market is expected to grow this year, but uneven conditions will likely remain the norm.
Population Growth Slows — California Edges Down
The U.S. population grew just 0.5% (1.8 million people) between mid-2024 and mid-2025—the slowest pace since 2021. The primary driver was a sharp decline in net international migration.
At the state level, California was one of five states that saw a population decline, losing 9,465 residents. If this trend continues, housing demand could feel modest pressure in 2026–2027, particularly in higher-cost markets.
Underwater Mortgages Remain Low
Nationally, 3.0% of homeowners are considered “seriously underwater” (owing 25% more than their home’s value), up slightly from prior quarters. However, that’s still well below pre-pandemic levels.
In California, the share remains low at 1.7%, suggesting homeowners across the state continue to hold substantial equity—a stabilizing factor for our market.
Homeownership Edges Higher
The national homeownership rate rose to 65.7% in late 2025. Gains were strongest among buyers under 35. In California, the rate ticked up to 55.3%, though still below long-term averages.
With affordability projected to gradually improve in 2026, ownership levels could continue inching upward—but likely at a measured pace.
📍 Local Spotlight: Long Beach & Orange County
While national headlines focus on population trends and macroeconomic shifts, real estate remains hyper-local.
Long Beach
Neighborhoods such as Los Altos, South of Conant, and Lakewood Plaza continue to see steady demand driven by lifestyle appeal, strong schools, and move-up buyers staying within the area. Limited inventory is helping support pricing, even as buyers negotiate more carefully.
Orange County
In communities like Rossmoor, Huntington Beach, and Costa Mesa, demand remains selective but resilient. Well-priced homes are still attracting activity, especially properties with updated interiors or larger lots. However, buyers are more payment-sensitive than they were during the ultra-low rate years.
Overall, equity levels in both Long Beach and Orange County remain strong, which reduces forced selling and keeps supply constrained.
Bottom Line
The 2026 housing outlook is shaping up to be a story of balance:
✔ Improving consumer confidence
✔ Strong homeowner equity
⚠ Slower population growth
⚠ Uneven economic signals
For Southern California homeowners, the fundamentals remain solid—but strategy matters more than ever. Pricing correctly, preparing the home thoughtfully, and understanding neighborhood-specific trends will be key in this next phase of the market.
If you’d like a customized update for your specific neighborhood in Long Beach or Orange County, I’m happy to put one together.
Hope everyone has a great Valentine's Day!
|
|
|
2030 S Cabrillo Ave #206
San Pedro, CA 90731
1 Bed | 1 Bath | 614 SF | $399,999
Stunning Remodeled Condo with Harbor & Mountain Views in Vista Del Oro
Wake up to breathtaking views of the harbor, the iconic Vincent Thomas Bridge, and even snow-capped mountains from this beautifully remodeled 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo perched high in the desirable Vista Del Oro neighborhood of San Pedro. Move-in ready and filled with natural light, this home features an open-concept layout with newer flooring and a bright, sun-drenched living area. Step through the sliding glass doors onto your private balcony and enjoy sweeping views, coastal breezes, and sparkling city lights in the evening. The remodeled kitchen shines with updated cabinetry, stainless steel gas stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and even a wine fridge—perfect for entertaining. The spacious bedroom offers a large closet with ample storage, while the modern bathroom impresses with stylish flooring, stone counters, a beautifully tiled shower, and contemporary vanity. Additional highlights include gated parking with one assigned space and storage, plus convenient elevator access. This is an exceptional opportunity to own a view property in one of San Pedro’s most sought-after hillside communities.
|
|
|
3581 Olive Ave.,
Long Beach, CA 90807
4 Units | 1808 SF | $1,095,000
Trophy Spanish Fourplex in Coveted California Heights – Ideal Owner-User or Investment Opportunity! Rarely available, this beautifully maintained Spanish-style four-unit property is located in California Heights, one of Long Beach’s most sought-after neighborhoods. Set on a charming tree-lined street featuring historic homes, this is a true trophy asset offering timeless appeal, strong income, and exceptional lifestyle value. The property consists of four units—two 1-bedroom units and two studios. Three units are currently rented, and one is available for an owner-occupant, or can be rented for an investor looking to increase rental income. Once fully leased, the current gross scheduled income is $76,056 annually, with pro-forma potential of approximately $86,160 based on market rents. Additional features include three private garages and ample street parking. The location is unbeatable—just 2–3 blocks from award-winning Blue Ribbon schools (Longfellow Elementary and Hughes Middle School) and within walking distance to the vibrant shops, restaurants, and cafes of Bixby Knolls. This is a rare opportunity to own a character-rich, income-producing property in a premier neighborhood with long-term upside and undeniable charm.
|
|
|
133 The Promenade N #319
Long Beach, CA 90802
1 Bed | 1 Bath | 910 SF | $490,000
Modern cosmopolitan condo on The Promenade. Well designed open floor plan. Gorgeous kitchen featuring CaesarStone counters and stainless steal appliances. Living room balcony with views of the lovely courtyard and palm trees. Large primary bedroom with dual closets. Central forced air and AC. Washer and dryer included. FIOS Internet, basic cable & water included in HOA dues. Building offers a modern club room complete w/ TV, sofas, pool table, shuffle board, full kitchen, outdoor social patio bar, courtyard lounge area w/ fireplace, modern fitness center w/ TVs & yoga room. Living in this desirable community you are walking distance to the City of Long Beach Bike Paths, The Promenade, boardwalk, grocery stores, The Pike, the beach, marina, Shoreline Village, jet ski & boat rentals, paddle boarding, Farmers Market, Pine Ave., live music, and all the amazing sites and entertainment downtown has to offer!
|
|
|
13616 Cornuta Ave.
Bellflower, CA 90706
4 Bed | 1.5 Bath | 1,231 SF | $800,000
Welcome to this charming and spacious 4 bedroom, 1.5 bath home located in one of Bellflower’s most desirable neighborhoods, served by the acclaimed Downey school district. This well-maintained residence features a nicely updated kitchen complete with Corian countertops, a custom tile backsplash, and solid wood cabinetry. The home offers wonderful indoor–outdoor living, with an attached 2-car garage, a long driveway that can easily accommodate up to three additional cars, and a generous backyard with a covered patio ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or play. Located on a quiet street with wide roads and a true neighborhood feel, this home is close to top-rated schools, local parks, great dining, and shopping. Commuters will appreciate easy access to the 105, 91, and 605 freeways, providing quick connections to both Los Angeles and Orange County. Just minutes from St. John Bosco High School, this home blends comfort, convenience, and an unbeatable location—ready for its next owner to enjoy. Some lenders may offer special financing incentives, including down payment assistance or grants, subject to lender availability and buyer qualifications.
|
|
|
7428 Bothwell Rd.
Reseda, CA 91335
5 Bed | 3 Bath | 2,420 SF | $810,000
Discover an exceptional opportunity in the heart of Reseda! This spacious 5-bedroom, 3-bath home offers approximately 2,420 sq. ft. of living space on a 5,388 sq. ft. lot, presenting the perfect blank canvas for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking a full renovation project. The home features a desirable two-story layout with generous living areas and excellent natural light potential. A main-level bedroom and full bath offer flexibility for multi-generational living, a convenient in-law suite, guest room, or a home office setup. Three spacious bedrooms upstairs with primary on-suite, walk in closet and extra shared full bathroom. With creativity and vision, this property can be transformed into a modern family retreat or a profitable investment. Located on a quiet residential street, just minutes from schools, parks, restaurants, and freeway access, this property combines a prime location with unlimited potential. Property is being sold in as-is condition with no repairs or credits. Bring your contractor and imagination to realize this home’s full potential.
|
|
|
1849 Fanwood Ave.
Long Beach, CA 90815
3 Bed | 1 Bath | 1,054 SF | $900,000
Charming Remodeled Home in Highly Desirable Los Altos! Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom home, perfectly situated on a picturesque tree-lined street in one of Long Beach’s most sought-after neighborhoods. Just two blocks from the award-winning Minnie Gant Elementary School and one block from Cal State Long Beach, this home offers both charm and convenience in an unbeatable location. Step inside to find a bright and inviting interior featuring a stunning remodeled kitchen with sleek white soft-close cabinetry, granite countertops, new modern flooring, and stainless-steel appliances, including a 5-burner gas range. The updated bathroom shines with a stylish vanity and contemporary finishes. Additional highlights include dual-pane windows, modern ceiling fans in every bedroom, and original hardwood floors throughout the living areas and bedrooms.
Situated on an expansive 6,828 sq. ft. lot, the backyard offers exceptional space and privacy—perfect for entertaining, gardening, or even adding an ADU. A long driveway provides ample parking, with room for a boat or RV, plus a detached 2-car garage. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, Trader Joe’s, and major freeways, this Los Altos gem combines modern updates with classic charm in a prime location!
|
|
|
4340 Pixie Ave.
Lakewood, CA 90712
5 Bed | 3 Bath | 2,459 SF | $1,175,000
Beautifully updated 5-bedroom, 3-bath home on a tree lined street in the sought-after Lakewood Mutuals neighborhood! Step inside to find new modern flooring, fresh interior and exterior paint, smooth ceilings, and custom wood shutters that add timeless charm. The open layout features a welcoming living room, a large dining area, and a bright kitchen with white cabinetry, new quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances. The main level includes three bedrooms and two full baths, including a spacious primary suite with three closets (one walk-in) and a spa-like bath with dual sinks, walk-in shower, and jetted tub. Upstairs, two additional bedrooms and a full bath with walk-in shower provide flexible living space. The backyard is a private oasis with pavers that match seamlessly with the driveway making an expansive area that is perfect for entertaining day or night with ambient lighting, turf play area, or relaxing in the swim spa under the stars. Additional features include central heat and A/C, indoor laundry, and parking for up to 6 cars with a detached 2-car garage and long driveway.
Close to Lakewood Country Club, Bixby Knolls, and Long Beach Exchange (LBX), this home offers both tranquility and prime access to shopping, dining, and entertainment.
|
|
|
|
|
